Oscar predictions, anyone?

[abcdefz]

Defensive, pre-emptive comment about being too cool to care about Academy Awards.

Okay: here are some of the nominees. Let's say... whoever gets the most right... i don't know. Gets a Cheeto or something.




Best Motion Picture of the Year
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Diana Ossana, James Schamus
Capote (2005) - Caroline Baron, William Vince, Michael Ohoven
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Cathy Schulman
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - Grant Heslov
Munich (2005) - Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy, Barry Mendel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote (2005)
Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow (2005)
Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line (2005)
David Strathairn for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents (2005)
Felicity Huffman for Transamerica (2005)
Keira Knightley for Pride & Prejudice (2005)
Charlize Theron for North Country (2005)
Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line (2005)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
George Clooney for Syriana (2005)
Matt Dillon for Crash (2004)
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man (2005)
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
William Hurt for A History of Violence (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
Amy Adams for Junebug (2005)
Catherine Keener for Capote (2005)
Frances McDormand for North Country (2005)
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener (2005)
Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain (2005)

Best Achievement in Directing
Nominees:
George Clooney for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)
Paul Haggis for Crash (2004)
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Bennett Miller for Capote (2005)
Steven Spielberg for Munich (2005)

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Nominees:
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Match Point (2005) - Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (2005) - Noah Baumbach
Syriana (2005) - Stephen Gaghan

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana
Capote (2005) - Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (2005) - Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (2005) - Josh Olson
Munich (2005) - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth

[abcdefz]

Best Motion Picture of the Year
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Diana Ossana, James Schamus

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line (2005)



Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
George Clooney for Syriana (2005)

(...that one... that's a tough call. Paul might get it.)



Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener (2005)

Best Achievement in Directing
Nominees:
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005)



Grits teeth:

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Nominees:
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco

*pukes, washes hair, returns*



Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana

[jabumbo]

the only one i've seen is crash


thats an accomplishment for me. usually i haven't seen any by the time they do these awards

[mickill]

Best Motion Picture of the Year
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Diana Ossana, James Schamus
Capote (2005) - Caroline Baron, William Vince, Michael Ohoven
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Cathy Schulman
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - Grant Heslov
Munich (2005) - Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy, Barry Mendel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote (2005)
Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow (2005)
Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line (2005)
David Strathairn for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents (2005)
Felicity Huffman for Transamerica (2005)
Keira Knightley for Pride & Prejudice (2005)
Charlize Theron for North Country (2005)
Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line (2005)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
George Clooney for Syriana (2005)
Matt Dillon for Crash (2004)
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man (2005)
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
William Hurt for A History of Violence (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
Amy Adams for Junebug (2005)
Catherine Keener for Capote (2005)
Frances McDormand for North Country (2005)
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener (2005)
Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Best Achievement in Directing
Nominees:
George Clooney for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)
Paul Haggis for Crash (2004)
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Bennett Miller for Capote (2005)
Steven Spielberg for Munich (2005)

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Nominees:
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Match Point (2005) - Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (2005) - Noah Baumbach
Syriana (2005) - Stephen Gaghan

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana
Capote (2005) - Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (2005) - Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (2005) - Josh Olson
Munich (2005) - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth

Edit: I swear I didn't look at your predictions first, man.

[abcdefz]

Edit: I swear I didn't look at your predictions first, man.


No sweat.

The only one I think might turn up a surprise is supporting actor. Paul Giamatti could easily get it. Or there could be a Clooney/Giamatti split which might help Jake G. get it, which I think would be a shame; I thought he was the weak part of that movie except in a couple of scenes.

[beastiegirrl101]

if Philip Seymore Hoffman does not win I will shoot someone. he deserves it.

[abcdefz]

If it were up to me, it'd be Ledger, who, I think, is just a smidgen better than Hoffman this time. I wish they could just tie.

[beastiegirrl101]

If it were up to me, it'd be Ledger, who, I think, is just a smidgen better than Hoffman this time. I wish they could just tie.

ok I can see that and I agree, he did do an amazing job. The only 2 I have not seen are Good Night and Good Luck and Munich...how were those? McCarthyism??

[abcdefz]

Good Night/GL was really good, but it has zero narrative tension. It's weird; it's a movie which kind of pivots on what dangerous work these journalists were doing, but you never really see or feel why it's dangerous, what could happen, etc.

Straithern is fantastic, as always. Cinematography is drop-dead gorgeous. Clooney intercuts the proceedings with an in-studio jazz vocal recording. (Diana Reeves?) If the script had been just this much sharper, it would've been a great movie. As it is, it's like a really expert tone poem. B+.

Haven't seen Munich. :o

[ToucanSpam]

Defensive, pre-emptive comment about being too cool to care about Academy Awards.

Okay: here are some of the nominees. Let's say... whoever gets the most right... i don't know. Gets a Cheeto or something.




Best Motion Picture of the Year
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Diana Ossana, James Schamus
Capote (2005) - Caroline Baron, William Vince, Michael Ohoven
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Cathy Schulman
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - Grant Heslov
Munich (2005) - Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy, Barry Mendel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote (2005)
Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow (2005)
Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line (2005)
David Strathairn for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents (2005)
Felicity Huffman for Transamerica (2005)
Keira Knightley for Pride & Prejudice (2005)
Charlize Theron for North Country (2005)
Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line (2005)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
George Clooney for Syriana (2005)
Matt Dillon for Crash (2004)
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man (2005)
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
William Hurt for A History of Violence (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
Amy Adams for Junebug (2005)
Catherine Keener for Capote (2005)
Frances McDormand for North Country (2005)
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener (2005)
Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain (2005)

Best Achievement in Directing
Nominees:
George Clooney for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)
Paul Haggis for Crash (2004)
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Bennett Miller for Capote (2005)
Steven Spielberg for Munich (2005)

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Nominees:
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Match Point (2005) - Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (2005) - Noah Baumbach
Syriana (2005) - Stephen Gaghan

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana
Capote (2005) - Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (2005) - Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (2005) - Josh Olson
Munich (2005) - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth

[enree erzweglle]

bold: I want to win
underline: I think might win


Best Motion Picture of the Year
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Diana Ossana, James Schamus
Capote (2005) - Caroline Baron, William Vince, Michael Ohoven
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Cathy Schulman
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - Grant Heslov
Munich (2005) - Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy, Barry Mendel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote (2005)
Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow (2005)
Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line (2005)
David Strathairn for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents (2005)
Felicity Huffman for Transamerica (2005)
Keira Knightley for Pride & Prejudice (2005)
Charlize Theron for North Country (2005)
Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line (2005)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
George Clooney for Syriana (2005)
Matt Dillon for Crash (2004)
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man (2005)
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
William Hurt for A History of Violence (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
Amy Adams for Junebug (2005)
Catherine Keener for Capote (2005)
Frances McDormand for North Country (2005)
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener (2005)
Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain (2005)

Best Achievement in Directing
Nominees:
George Clooney for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)
Paul Haggis for Crash (2004)
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Bennett Miller for Capote (2005)
Steven Spielberg for Munich (2005)

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Nominees:
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Match Point (2005) - Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (2005) - Noah Baumbach
Syriana (2005) - Stephen Gaghan

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana
Capote (2005) - Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (2005) - Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (2005) - Josh Olson
Munich (2005) - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth

[abcdefz]

Crash
I think might win



:(

*openly weeps*

[BangkokB]

Lord of War takes the brass ring home and Nicholas Cage is beaten because of who he is.

SawII declares that Donnie Walhberg is the greatest actor since Jeff Goldblum

[enree erzweglle]

Originally Posted by enree erzweglle
Crash
I think might win

:(

*openly weeps**offers daisy-printed kleenex*

[abcdefz]

daisy



See, now I'm think Hal in 2001.

[adam_f]

Best Motion Picture of the Year
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Diana Ossana, James Schamus
Capote (2005) - Caroline Baron, William Vince, Michael Ohoven
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Cathy Schulman
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - Grant Heslov
Munich (2005) - Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy, Barry Mendel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote (2005)
Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow (2005)
Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line (2005)
David Strathairn for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents (2005)
Felicity Huffman for Transamerica (2005)
Keira Knightley for Pride & Prejudice (2005)
Charlize Theron for North Country (2005)
Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line (2005)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
George Clooney for Syriana (2005)
Matt Dillon for Crash (2004)
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man (2005)
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
William Hurt for A History of Violence (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
Amy Adams for Junebug (2005)
Catherine Keener for Capote (2005)
Frances McDormand for North Country (2005)
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener (2005)
Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain (2005)

Best Achievement in Directing
Nominees:
George Clooney for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)
Paul Haggis for Crash (2004)
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005)
Bennett Miller for Capote (2005)
Steven Spielberg for Munich (2005)

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Nominees:
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - George Clooney, Grant Heslov
Match Point (2005) - Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (2005) - Noah Baumbach
Syriana (2005) - Stephen Gaghan

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana
Capote (2005) - Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener (2005) - Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (2005) - Josh Olson
Munich (2005) - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth

What I want to win is in red and what I think will win is in blue. If it's just red, that's what I think will and should win.

For the record, 'It's Hard Out Here For a Pimp' should win song. Just for the mere fact pimp is in the title.

[DandyFop]

The only film I've seen is Crash :( I haven't had any time to see the others.

[b-grrrlie]

My predictions (before I checked anybody elses)
¤ want to win
* will win


Best Motion Picture of the Year
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Diana Ossana, James Schamus ¤
Capote (2005) - Caroline Baron, William Vince, Michael Ohoven *
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Cathy Schulman
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - Grant Heslov
Munich (2005) - Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy, Barry Mendel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Philip Seymour Hoffman for Capote (2005) ¤
Terrence Howard for Hustle & Flow (2005)
Heath Ledger for Brokeback Mountain (2005) *
Joaquin Phoenix for Walk the Line (2005)
David Strathairn for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Nominees:
Judi Dench for Mrs. Henderson Presents (2005)
Felicity Huffman for Transamerica (2005)
Keira Knightley for Pride & Prejudice (2005)
Charlize Theron for North Country (2005)
Reese Witherspoon for Walk the Line (2005) ¤ *

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
George Clooney for Syriana (2005)
Matt Dillon for Crash (2004)
Paul Giamatti for Cinderella Man (2005)
Jake Gyllenhaal for Brokeback Mountain (2005) ¤
William Hurt for A History of Violence (2005) *

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Nominees:
Amy Adams for Junebug (2005)
Catherine Keener for Capote (2005) *
Frances McDormand for North Country (2005) ¤
Rachel Weisz for The Constant Gardener (2005)
Michelle Williams for Brokeback Mountain (2005)

Best Achievement in Directing
Nominees:
George Clooney for Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005)
Paul Haggis for Crash (2004)
Ang Lee for Brokeback Mountain (2005) ¤ *
Bennett Miller for Capote (2005)
Steven Spielberg for Munich (2005)

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Nominees:
Crash (2004) - Paul Haggis, Robert Moresco *
Good Night, and Good Luck. (2005) - George Clooney, Grant Heslov ¤
Match Point (2005) - Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale (2005) - Noah Baumbach
Syriana (2005) - Stephen Gaghan

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
Nominees:
Brokeback Mountain (2005) - Larry McMurtry, Diana Ossana ¤
Capote (2005) - Dan Futterman *
The Constant Gardener (2005) - Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence (2005) - Josh Olson
Munich (2005) - Tony Kushner, Eric Roth

It's a bit weird to predict when I've only seen two of those films, Capote has been going on here for a week now, but I've been ill, and I'll be going to see Good Night, and Good Luck preview on the 13th. Its' pretty tough choosing between Capote and Brokeback Mountain, I want them both to win both best movie and best actors.

[b-grrrlie]

Oh yeah and they've re-modelled (http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-3083497399622230548) the Oscar statue.

[Jmoney77]

I just want to see john stewert

[Jmoney77]

Oh yeah and they've re-modelled (http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-3083497399622230548) the Oscar statue.

Oh man too funny (y)

[Matt]

I have a feeling Brokeback Mountian will win every award it's up for. That movie was quite literally made for oscars.

I'm personally hoping for Capote to win best picture and Joaquin Phoenix to win best actor.

[zorra_chiflada]

brokeback mountain was amazing. seriously. i hope it wins all of them, but i have a feeling that it won't win any.

[Matt]

brokeback mountain was amazing. seriously. i hope it wins all of them, but i have a feeling that it won't win any.

You have a feeling opposite of mine. we must fight!

[zorra_chiflada]

oh :(




ok

[zorra_chiflada]

POD are cool!

[zorra_chiflada]

they make really original music of good quality. and the lyrics! oh man! they speak to me!

[zorra_chiflada]

in case you don't know, i'm not being serious

[Matt]

oh, you're totally being serious, and thats why I didn't even have to fight back. you did all my fighting for me.

[zorra_chiflada]

am not am not am not!!! :(

am not!

[mickill]

So what do I win, a-z?

Fine, what do we win, a-z?

[Qdrop]

i predict that Crash will win Best Picture.

[hpdrifter]

Damn, a-z and Mikey got it almost totally right. Most of the ones I wanted to win didn't win.

So its pretty much business as usual.

[abcdefz]

So what do I win, a-z?

Fine, what do we win, a-z?




...the satisfaction of a job well done? :D

[abcdefz]

Damn, a-z and Mikey got it almost totally right. Most of the ones I wanted to win didn't win.



...got the big one very, very wrong, though.

Dammit dammit dammit. I saw the paper this morning and was pretty stunned. No idea why I was so invested in this, except that I thought Crash was unwatchable. I think I made it through about twenty minutes.

[mickill]

I didn't see that win coming at all.

I mean, I saw the Three Six Mafia one and the multiple King Kong wins coming. But Crash winning best picture? No.

Unlike Q, of course.

[Qdrop]

Unlike Q, of course.

keep shooting for the stars, mike.

[Anne Lauren]

Well, I'm rootin' for Mr. Phoenix, as far as, winning for best actor...I saw the movie and he was excellant. Now, I'm a huge Johnny Cash fan...just part of my heritage (so, I'm probably a tad bit biased)...and he was able to capture that role, perfectly. Plus, he sang his own songs, like Reese Witherspoon.

Now, as far as, best actress...I guess, Charlize Theron. Reese Witherspoon and Kiera Knightly were both great! However, neither one really seemed to delve outside their "norm"...they both seemed to play "safe roles", so's to speak. Reese is a "southerner" and Kiera is "british"...so, naturally, they would be able to play those parts, well...especially, since they're both talented actresses to begin with.

[TAL]

I really hope those aren't your predictions.

[Anne Lauren]

I really hope those aren't your predictions.

Why...because they didn't win? OK, let me guess...it was Heath Ledger and Reese Witherspoon, right?

[Justin]

only thing i got to say about the oscars is..

At least Jon Stewart was the host

[Anne Lauren]

Wait...were the Oscars even last night? Or, I know atleast they're coming up sometime real soon.

[Anne Lauren]

only thing i got to say about the oscars is..

At least Jon Stewart was the host

So, they were last night...so, come on, who won? I don't feel like looking it up.

[TAL]

Why...because they didn't win? OK, let me guess...it was Heath Ledger and Reese Witherspoon, right?
No, I just meant that it's a little late for predictions.

You're correct on Reese.

[Medellia]

Wait...were the Oscars even last night? Or, I know atleast they're coming up sometime real soon.
They were last night. Reese won. Heath didn't.

[Justin]

So, they were last night...so, come on, who won? I don't feel like looking it up.

I didnt see it. Hell I didnt know Jon Stewart was the host til i saw him on opera today

[Anne Lauren]

Soooo...did my man, Joaquin, win?? (y)

[TAL]

Nope, the Hoffman guy got it.

[Anne Lauren]

Nope, the Hoffman guy got it.

Who? Who the heck is that? I'm checkin' out the origional thread, now...to see what movie he was in.

[Medellia]

Who? Who the heck is that? I'm checkin' out the origional thread, now...to see what movie he was in.
Phillip Seymour Hoffman. Won for Capote.

http://imdb.com/name/nm0000450/

[Anne Lauren]

Phillip Seymour Hoffman. Won for Capote.

http://imdb.com/name/nm0000450/

That, actually, looks like a really interesting movie. I'm definately gonna check it out, sometime.